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Tropical Storm Karl Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT24 KNHC 140231
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142022
0300 UTC FRI OCT 14 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
EAST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN TO SABANCUY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALVARADO TO SABANCUY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  92.8W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  45SE  45SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  92.8W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  93.1W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.9N  92.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.0N  92.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.0N  93.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N  92.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO/BERG




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