Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Ian Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT24 KNHC 291459
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092022
1500 UTC THU SEP 29 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO
LITTLE RIVER INLET...SC...AND FOR THE NEUSE RIVER.

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF SOUTH
CAROLINA FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER TO LITTLE RIVER INLET.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO DUCK...
NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO
DUCK...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO RIVER.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE GULF COAST
OF FLORIDA AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLAGLER/VOLUSIA LINE TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
* NEUSE RIVER
* ST. JOHNS RIVER

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO LITTLE RIVER INLET

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET FLORIDA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO SOUND

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO RIVER

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN
THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.
PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IAN.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  80.4W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......360NE 120SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  80.4W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  80.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 30.0N  79.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...330NE 130SE 110SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 31.8N  79.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  30SW  80NW.
34 KT...270NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 34.0N  80.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 35.9N  81.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 37.0N  82.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N  80.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 29/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




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