Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Gert Forecast Discussion



000
WTNT41 KNHC 210416
TCDAT1

Tropical Storm Gert Special Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062023
1200 AM AST Mon Aug 21 2023

Recent satellite wind-derived data indicated that winds in the
northeast quadrant were a little over 35 kt.  Conventional enhanced
infrared imagery showed cooling cloud tops of -85 Celsius in the
same region of the cyclone.  Accordingly, the depression is
upgraded to a tropical storm on this Special Advisory.

No changes to the forecast track and intensity philosophy are
required.  Since the environment is still expected to be
hostile with very strong westerly shear during the next day or so, 
Gert should degenerate into a remnant low later today, and 
dissipate by Tuesday.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  21/0400Z 16.7N  55.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  21/1200Z 16.8N  57.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Roberts



Source link