Currently Active Systems

Tropical Storm Gaston Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT23 KNHC 210850
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082022
0900 UTC WED SEP 21 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N  42.6W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N  42.6W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  43.1W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 38.8N  40.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 40.1N  37.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 40.8N  34.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 40.9N  32.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 40.8N  31.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 41.3N  31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 42.6N  33.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 44.3N  35.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.5N  42.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN




Source link