Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Franklin Wind Speed Probabilities



140 
FONT13 KNHC 251452
PWSAT3

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023               
1500 UTC FRI AUG 25 2023                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  25(30)   9(39)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

GRAND TURK     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

AGUADILLA PR   34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KELLY/BLAKE                                              




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