Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Franklin Wind Speed Probabilities



235 
FONT13 KNHC 241447
PWSAT3

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023               
1500 UTC THU AUG 24 2023                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)  19(36)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

MAYAGUANA      34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)

GRAND TURK     34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

PUERTO PLATA   34  2   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PONCE PR       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

AGUADILLA PR   34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PAPIN                                                    



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