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Tropical Storm Fiona Wind Speed Probabilities


000
FONT12 KNHC 180253
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM FIONA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022               
0300 UTC SUN SEP 18 2022                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  32(33)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  12(21)   1(22)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  22(27)  11(38)   1(39)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)   1(12)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

GRAND TURK     34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)  21(29)  34(63)   6(69)   1(70)
GRAND TURK     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  25(31)   5(36)   X(36)
GRAND TURK     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   3(15)   X(15)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   5(12)   2(14)   X(14)

CAPE BEATA     34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   3( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)

PUERTO PLATA   34  X   5( 5)  12(17)  21(38)  14(52)   2(54)   X(54)
PUERTO PLATA   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   8(17)   1(18)   X(18)
PUERTO PLATA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   4( 4)  15(19)   7(26)   4(30)   X(30)   X(30)
SANTO DOMINGO  50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PONCE PR       34 71  25(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
PONCE PR       50  1  30(31)   3(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
PONCE PR       64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

AGUADILLA PR   34 39  49(88)   5(93)   X(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)
AGUADILLA PR   50  1  42(43)  14(57)   X(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)
AGUADILLA PR   64  X   8( 8)   5(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

SAN JUAN PR    34 63  24(87)   1(88)   X(88)   1(89)   X(89)   X(89)
SAN JUAN PR    50  1  11(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

VIEQUES PR     34 79   4(83)   1(84)   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
VIEQUES PR     50  8   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

SAINT THOMAS   34 62   4(66)   1(67)   1(68)   1(69)   X(69)   X(69)

SAINT JOHN     34 58   3(61)   1(62)   1(63)   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)

SAINT CROIX    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SAINT CROIX    50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT MAARTEN  34 10   4(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

SABA           34 15   2(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

ST EUSTATIUS   34 10   3(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  6   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

BARBUDA        34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ANTIGUA        34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GUADELOUPE     34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

AVES           34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    



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