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Tropical Storm Fiona Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT22 KNHC 150240
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
0300 UTC THU SEP 15 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. MAARTEN HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ST. MAARTEN.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONTSERRAT...AND ANGUILLA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN 
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS 
OF THIS SYSTEM...AS ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS 
WILL BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THOSE AREAS ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  52.0W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE  30SE   0SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  52.0W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  51.3W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.9N  53.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.1N  56.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.2N  58.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.3N  61.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.6N  63.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.8N  65.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 18.7N  68.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 20.5N  70.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  52.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 15/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




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