Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Emily Forecast Advisory



000
WTNT22 KNHC 202032
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072023
2100 UTC SUN AUG 20 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  39.4W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......160NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  39.4W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  39.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.7N  40.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.3N  42.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.1N  44.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.1N  46.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.5N  48.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.4N  49.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 31.2N  50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 37.5N  49.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  39.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




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