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Tropical Storm Earl Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT21 KNHC 050850
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062022
0900 UTC MON SEP 05 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
EARL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  65.3W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  65.3W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  65.4W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.7N  65.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.9N  65.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 24.0N  65.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.1N  65.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 26.2N  65.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.3N  65.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 30.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 33.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N  65.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




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