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Tropical Storm Bonnie Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT22 KNHC 020238
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022022
0300 UTC SAT JUL 02 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF COLOMBIA HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SAN ANDRES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LIMON COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* CABO BLANCO COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF NICARAGUA AND
HONDURAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
6 TO 12 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG BOTH THE CARIBBEAN AND PACIFIC COASTS OF
NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA...AS WELL AS THE PACIFIC COASTS OF EL
SALVADOR...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHERN MEXICO...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  83.8W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  15SE  15SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  83.8W AT 02/0300Z...INLAND
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  83.2W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 10.9N  85.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 11.0N  88.5W...OVER PACIFIC OCEAN
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 11.6N  90.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 12.4N  93.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 13.3N  96.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.2N  99.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 15.5N 104.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 16.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N  83.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 02/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




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