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Tropical Storm Alex Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT21 KNHC 050853
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012022
0900 UTC SUN JUN 05 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BERMUDA HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL 
STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLAND OF BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  76.3W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 300SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  76.3W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  77.5W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 30.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 190SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 32.0N  70.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 170SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 33.2N  65.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  90SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 34.0N  60.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 34.3N  56.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 34.2N  52.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 34.7N  49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N  76.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 05/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN/BLAKE




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