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Tropical Storm Alex Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT21 KNHC 051446
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012022
1500 UTC SUN JUN 05 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  73.9W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  73.9W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  75.0W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 31.7N  70.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 190SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.1N  66.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 170SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 34.2N  61.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  90SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 34.6N  57.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 34.9N  53.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 35.0N  50.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 35.5N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N  73.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 05/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




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