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Tropical Depression Nicole Wind Speed Probabilities


000
FONT12 KNHC 110244
PWSAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172022               
0300 UTC FRI NOV 11 2022                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CHARLOTTESVIL  34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

DANVILLE VA    34  X   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

GREENSBORO NC  34  X  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  2  12(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

COLUMBIA SC    34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ATLANTA GA     34 28   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)

AUGUSTA GA     34 26   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)

SAVANNAH GA    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

KINGS BAY GA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

WAYCROSS GA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

JACKSONVILLE   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

GAINESVILLE FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

TALLAHASSEE FL 34 71   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)

ST MARKS FL    34 72   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)

APALACHICOLA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

COLUMBUS GA    34 27   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    



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