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Tropical Depression Lisa Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT25 KNHC 031444
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152022
1500 UTC THU NOV 03 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF LISA.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  91.0W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  91.0W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  90.5W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.2N  92.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.9N  94.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.8N  95.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.5N  95.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.2N  95.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.8N  94.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  91.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




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