000 WTNT22 KNHC 070859 TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172022 0900 UTC MON NOV 07 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING ANDROS ISLAND...NEW PROVIDENCE...ELEUTHERA...ABACOS ISLANDS...BERRY ISLANDS...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND BIMINI. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...FLORIDA...AND ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NICOLE. ADDITIONAL WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 68.5W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......240NE 240SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 68.5W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 68.2W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 26.3N 69.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.5N 70.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 40SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.2N 72.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...240NE 90SE 180SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 27.6N 74.9W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...400NE 60SE 210SW 360NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.8N 77.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 0SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...400NE 90SE 120SW 330NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.0N 79.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...300NE 90SE 90SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 29.2N 83.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 32.8N 80.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 68.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 07/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG