Mesoscale Discussion 0092 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0910 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Areas affected...southern AL Concerning...Tornado Watch 6...7... Valid 130310Z - 130445Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 6, 7 continues. SUMMARY...Tornado and isolated damaging wind potential will persist into the overnight across parts of southern Alabama. A strong tornado remains possible, mainly through late evening. DISCUSSION...After a couple potentially strong tornadoes earlier this evening, a relative lull in convective intensity has been recently observed. With a lack of mid-level height falls across the warm-moist sector, in conjunction with a filling surface cyclone tonight, overall severe potential may have peaked. Still, strong low-level shear (0-1 km SRH around 350 m2/s2 per MOB VWP data) and upper 60s to low 70s surface dew points in much of the warm-moist sector, will remain favorable for a strong tornado with any sustained supercells along the slow-moving warm front. While the western portion of the front has been modified by prior convective outflow, the eastern portion of this boundary arced through Montgomery to Barbour County, AL (the MGM ASOS measured a 9 F temperature rise in 10 minutes during passage). It should continue advancing north in/towards the I-85 corridor, increasing tornado potential into this region later tonight. ..Grams.. 02/13/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB... LAT...LON 31568854 32078808 32428727 32728639 32808577 32788534 32678510 32268512 31898526 31328596 30988684 30838768 30858830 31168865 31568854
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