Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 91

   Mesoscale Discussion 0091
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0645 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025

   Areas affected...southern AL and southeast MS

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 6...

   Valid 130045Z - 130215Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 6 continues.

   SUMMARY...Strong tornado potential should persist along the surface
   warm front, expanding east of Tornado Watch 6 into an initially
   confined portion of southeast Alabama.

   DISCUSSION...A recently intense supercell from Washington to Clarke
   County, AL produced a potentially strong tornado near the wavy
   surface warm front. This boundary arcs more east-northeast ahead of
   this cell through Wilcox to southern Montgomery County, then pivots
   southeast into Barbour County per latest surface observations. 00Z
   LIX sounding sampled a rather favorable supercell environment, amply
   buoyant with strong deep-layer shear. Enhanced vorticity along the
   slow-moving front will be most favorable for strong tornado
   potential into late evening. With neutral mid-level height change
   through the evening, the number of additional warm-sector supercells
   may be limited. The northern portion of the tornado threat will wane
   quickly where surface dew points hold below 65-66 F.

   ..Grams.. 02/13/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...

   LAT...LON   32558718 32638620 32548570 32338555 32008560 31758583
               31628630 31548704 31468773 31298854 31208896 31198960
               31498960 31818914 32198846 32558718