MD 0188 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 36… FOR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS…SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA…SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI…WESTERN KENTUCKY…WESTERN TENNESSEE…EASTERN ARKANSAS…AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
Mesoscale Discussion 0188
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1150 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025
Areas affected...southern Illinois...southwestern
Indiana...southeastern Missouri...western Kentucky...western
Tennessee...eastern Arkansas...and northern Mississippi
Concerning...Tornado Watch 36...
Valid 150450Z - 150645Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 36 continues.
SUMMARY...Severe/tornado risk is spreading eastward into Tornado
Watch 36. A few strong tornadoes are possible.
DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a broken band comprised of
numerous supercell storms, extending from southern
Illinois/southeastern Missouri southwestward into southwestern
Arkansas. Sustained rotational signatures have persisted with
several of these storms, as they move through an axis of 1500 to
2500 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE and surface dewpoints generally in the
upper 50s across this area.
With very strong flow present across the region, that veers with
height, these kinematically favorable conditions suggest
continuation of the tornado risk as storms move through the
instability axis ahead of the surface front. A few of the tornadoes
could be strong/potentially significant over the next few hours, as
they spread eastward toward/across the Mississippi River.
..Goss.. 03/15/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...JAN...LSX...LZK...
LAT...LON 34109110 35509090 38368940 38298720 35548806 34118869
34109110
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