000
FONT13 KNHC 062037
PWSAT3
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THIRTEEN
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132022
2100 UTC THU OCT 06 2022
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THIRTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) X(13)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) X(21)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 12(22) X(22)
GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 44(45) 9(54) X(54)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 4(23) X(23)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
BLUEFIELDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 5(31) X(31)
BLUEFIELDS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12)
BLUEFIELDS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 45(58) 2(60) X(60)
SAN ANDRES 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 2(29) X(29)
SAN ANDRES 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10)
LIMON 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
COLON 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PT GALLINAS 34 3 13(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
CURACAO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BERG