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Potential Tropical Cyclone One Wind Speed Probabilities


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FONT11 KNHC 040851
PWSAT1

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012022               
0900 UTC SAT JUN 04 2022                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                     

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

ORLANDO FL     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

COCOA BEACH FL 34  4  10(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

PATRICK AFB    34  4  10(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

FT PIERCE FL   34 25  18(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
FT PIERCE FL   50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

W PALM BEACH   34 62   6(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
W PALM BEACH   50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

FT LAUDERDALE  34 65   3(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)

MIAMI FL       34 67   1(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)

HOMESTEAD ARB  34 67   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)

MARATHON FL    34 87   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)

KEY WEST FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

NAPLES FL      34 60   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)

FT MYERS FL    34 15   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

VENICE FL      34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  24(26)   X(26)   X(26)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GRAND BAHAMA   34 27  40(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  4   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

ANDROS         34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HAVANA         34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     



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