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Potential Tropical Cyclone One Forecast Advisory


469 
WTNT21 KNHC 050240
TCMAT1

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012022
0300 UTC SUN JUN 05 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  78.2W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  78.2W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  78.9W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.7N  76.0W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 31.5N  72.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 170SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 32.9N  68.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 33.9N  64.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 34.6N  59.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 34.7N  55.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 35.9N  50.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 38.6N  45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N  78.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 05/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





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