Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Post-Tropical Cyclone Idalia Forecast Advisory



440 
WTNT25 KNHC 010243
TCMAT5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
0300 UTC FRI SEP 01 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N  71.5W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  95 DEGREES AT  20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 180SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N  71.5W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.4N  72.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.3N  69.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  30SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 110SE 150SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 31.1N  67.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE   0SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.6N  65.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...160NE   0SE   0SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 31.3N  64.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 32.3N  63.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 34.3N  61.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE  70SE  60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 36.8N  59.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 38.7N  61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N  71.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 01/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





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