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Post-Tropical Cyclone Fiona Wind Speed Probabilities


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FONT12 KNHC 240253
PWSAT2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FIONA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  39     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022               
0300 UTC SAT SEP 24 2022                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 44.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.                             

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ILE ST PIERRE  34 70   1(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)

BURGEO NFLD    34 85   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
BURGEO NFLD    50 12   4(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
BURGEO NFLD    64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

PTX BASQUES    34 97   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PTX BASQUES    50 88   3(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
PTX BASQUES    64 46  10(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)

EDDY POINT NS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
EDDY POINT NS  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
EDDY POINT NS  64 97   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)

SYDNEY NS      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SYDNEY NS      50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SYDNEY NS      64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

SABLE ISLAND   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SABLE ISLAND   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SABLE ISLAND   64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

HALIFAX NS     34 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
HALIFAX NS     50 80   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)

YARMOUTH NS    34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MONCTON NB     34 33   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)

ST JOHN NB     34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

EASTPORT ME    34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    



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