Currently Active Systems

Local Statement for One (Melbourne, FL)


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Potential Tropical Cyclone One Local Statement Advisory Number 1
National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL012022
613 PM EDT Thu Jun 2 2022

This product covers East Central Florida

**TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EAST 
CENTRAL FLORIDA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Coastal Indian 
      River, Coastal Martin, Coastal Saint Lucie, Inland Indian 
      River, Inland Martin, Inland Northern Brevard, Inland Saint 
      Lucie, Inland Southern Brevard, Mainland Northern Brevard, 
      Mainland Southern Brevard, Northern Brevard Barrier Islands, 
      Okeechobee, Osceola, and Southern Brevard Barrier Islands

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Indian River, 
      Coastal Martin, Coastal Saint Lucie, Inland Indian River, 
      Inland Martin, Inland Northern Brevard, Inland Saint Lucie, 
      Inland Southern Brevard, Mainland Northern Brevard, Mainland 
      Southern Brevard, Northern Brevard Barrier Islands, Okeechobee, 
      Osceola, and Southern Brevard Barrier Islands

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 610 miles southwest of Fort Pierce FL
    - 21.4N 87.5W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 5 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Potential Tropical Cyclone One near the Yucatan peninsula late this 
afternoon is forecast to move slowly northeast and become a Tropical 
Depression overnight. The system will move northeast on Friday and 
Friday night across the southeast Gulf of Mexico and is expected to 
strengthen to a Tropical Storm. The system is then forecast to move 
northeast across central or southern Florida this weekend.


The primary hazard for east central Florida at this time is the
potential for flooding rainfall with this system as it draws closer to
the area. Rainfall totals may reach 4 to 6 inches across portions of
Okeechobee county and the Treasure Coast counties Friday afternoon 
through Saturday night.

As the system moves toward the southern Florida peninsula Saturday
into Saturday night the frequency of showers and squalls will increase
with the potential for gusts to tropical storm strength in heavier
squalls near where the center tracks across the state and in any
stronger outer rainbands. The strongest winds are expected to occur
Saturday into Saturday night on the current forecast track.

With the current forecast track and intensity of the system, storm
surge is not expected for east central Florida. However, a few
tornadoes will be possible south of Orlando.

Residents and visitors should stay tuned to the latest forecasts and
information regarding this potential Tropical Cyclone as we head 
through the upcoming weekend.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across 
East Central Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored 
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or 
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are 
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban 
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on 
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across Okeechobee and the Treasure Coast counties. Potential 
impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and 
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter 
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially 
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and 
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations. 
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid 
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage 
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as 
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions 
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible 
limited impacts across Brevard and Osceola counties.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts mainly
south of Orlando. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution 
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power 
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys 
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, 
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees 
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats 
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across East Central Florida, little to no impact is 
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local officials for recommended preparedness actions, 
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so 
immediately. 

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind
gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of
the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as 
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor 
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to 
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news 
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes 
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather 
Service in Melbourne FL around 12 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions 
warrant.

$$



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