Currently Active Systems

Hurricane Sam Forecast Advisory


117 
WTNT23 KNHC 020842
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182021
0900 UTC SAT OCT 02 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N  60.5W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 55NE  45SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 130SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 300SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N  60.5W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  61.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 34.6N  59.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 36.6N  57.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  40SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 160SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 38.4N  54.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  50SE  45SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 40.7N  50.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  55SE  45SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 200SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 44.4N  44.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 240SE 240SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 48.9N  40.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW  50NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 360SW 270NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 53.4N  34.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 58.7N  26.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.8N  60.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





Source link