Currently Active Systems

Hurricane Sam Forecast Advisory


160 
WTNT23 KNHC 280232
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182021
0300 UTC TUE SEP 28 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  53.2W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  53.2W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  52.9W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N  54.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.4N  55.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.3N  56.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.6N  58.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.2N  59.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 24.3N  61.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 29.6N  61.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 37.5N  56.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N  53.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





Source link