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PWSAT5
HURRICANE LISA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152022
1500 UTC WED NOV 02 2022
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS
...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
FRONTERA MX 34 1 3( 4) 16(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) 1(24)
FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
MERIDA MX 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BELIZE CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BELIZE CITY 50 70 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
BELIZE CITY 64 32 X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
TAPACHULA 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH