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Hurricane Lisa Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT25 KNHC 022044
TCMAT5

HURRICANE LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152022
2100 UTC WED NOV 02 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE BAY ISLANDS AND THE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE
* CHETUMAL TO PUERTO COSTA MAYA...MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF GUATEMALA
* PUERTO COSTA MAYA TO PUNTA ALLEN...MEXICO

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LISA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  88.2W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  88.2W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  87.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.6N  89.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.9N  91.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.4N  93.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.2N  94.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.1N  95.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.6N  95.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 19.7N  94.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  88.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 03/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




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