Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Hurricane Lee Forecast Advisory



928 
WTNT23 KNHC 072051
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  51.3W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  51.3W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  50.7W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.6N  53.0W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.7N  55.2W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.7N  57.2W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.6N  59.0W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.3N  60.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.0N  61.8W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 23.1N  64.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 24.0N  66.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N  51.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY





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