Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Hurricane Lee Forecast Advisory



000
WTNT23 KNHC 070831
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
0900 UTC THU SEP 07 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  48.6W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  48.6W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  48.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.8N  50.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.8N  52.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.8N  55.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.8N  57.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.6N  59.1W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.3N  60.7W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 22.5N  63.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 23.5N  65.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  48.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




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