Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Julia Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT23 KNHC 090850
TCMAT3

HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132022
0900 UTC SUN OCT 09 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING
WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SAN ANDRES...PROVIDENCIA...AND
SANTA CATALINA ISLANDS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE ENTIRE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA...FROM THE EL
SALVADOR/GUATEMALA BORDER TO THE GUATEMALA/MEXICO BORDER.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS TO PUERTO CABEZAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NICARAGUA NORTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NICARAGUA SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO THE NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA BORDER
* NICARAGUA NORTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
* SAN ANDRES...PROVIDENCIA...AND SANTA CATALINA ISLANDS COLOMBIA
* PACIFIC COAST OF NICARAGUA
* PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS
* COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HONDURAS FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER TO PUNTA PATUCA
* PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  84.0W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  84.0W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  83.3W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 12.5N  86.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 12.7N  88.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 13.3N  91.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 14.1N  93.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N  84.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 09/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART




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