000 WTNT24 KNHC 270855 TCMAT4 HURRICANE IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022 0900 UTC TUE SEP 27 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO BONITA BEACH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE MIDDLE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE CHANNEL 5 BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE ANCLOTE RIVER NORTHWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM DEERFIELD BEACH NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD...PINAR DEL RIO...AND ARTEMISA * BONITA BEACH TO THE ANCLOTE RIVER...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY * DRY TORTUGAS A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANCLOTE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO * TAMPA BAY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...MAYABEQUE...AND MATANZAS * LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO KEY WEST * FLAMINGO TO BONITA BEACH * SUWANNEE RIVER TO THE ANCLOTE RIVER * VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE SOUTH TO JUPITER INLET * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO KEY WEST * DRY TORTUGAS * FLORIDA BAY * AUCILLA RIVER TO ANCLOTE RIVER * ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE * SAINT JOHNS RIVER A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF ANCLOTE RIVER TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS * ALTAMAHA SOUND TO VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE * DEERFIELD BEACH TO JUPITER INLET A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS IN CENTRAL CUBA...THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IAN. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 83.7W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 83.7W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 83.6W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 23.7N 83.7W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 25.4N 83.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 26.7N 83.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.6N 82.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.3N 82.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...240NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 29.0N 82.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...240NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 31.7N 82.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 35.0N 82.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 83.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 27/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN