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HURRICANE FIONA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072022
1500 UTC SUN SEP 18 2022
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 62(70)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 37(39)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 4(20) 1(21)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 20(36) 4(40) X(40)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) X(10)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GRAND TURK 34 1 4( 5) 21(26) 33(59) 12(71) 1(72) X(72)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) 11(36) 1(37) X(37)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 8(20) 1(21) X(21)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14)
CAPE BEATA 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
PUERTO PLATA 34 3 10(13) 27(40) 10(50) 5(55) X(55) X(55)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15)
PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 2 17(19) 9(28) 2(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31)
SANTO DOMINGO 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PONCE PR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PONCE PR 50 83 2(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
PONCE PR 64 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
AGUADILLA PR 34 96 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
AGUADILLA PR 50 53 27(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
AGUADILLA PR 64 16 20(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
SAN JUAN PR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN JUAN PR 50 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
VIEQUES PR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAINT THOMAS 34 27 3(30) 2(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
SAINT JOHN 34 14 4(18) 2(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
SAINT CROIX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SABA 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
AVES 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH