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Hurricane Fiona Wind Speed Probabilities


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FONT12 KNHC 201451
PWSAT2

HURRICANE FIONA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022               
1500 UTC TUE SEP 20 2022                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.                                       

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  12(26)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  36(36)  24(60)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  13(25)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  35(35)  38(73)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  25(37)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  12(17)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  37(37)  38(75)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  30(43)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  18(24)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  37(37)  15(52)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)   9(29)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  52(52)  21(73)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  25(25)  19(44)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  11(23)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  73(73)   7(80)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  45(45)   5(50)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)   5(27)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  37(37)   4(41)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   2(19)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   1(17)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   6(20)
MONCTON NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
MONCTON NB     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   3(13)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
EASTPORT ME    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  79(80)   1(81)   X(81)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  42(42)   1(43)   X(43)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)   1(22)   X(22)

GREAT EXUMA    34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SAN SALVADOR   34  2   7( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

MAYAGUANA      34 43   4(47)   2(49)   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
MAYAGUANA      50  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
MAYAGUANA      64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

GRAND TURK     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GRAND TURK     50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GRAND TURK     64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

PUERTO PLATA   34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    



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