000
FONT12 KNHC 201451
PWSAT2
HURRICANE FIONA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072022
1500 UTC TUE SEP 20 2022
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 12(26)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 24(60)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 13(25)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) 38(73)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 25(37)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 38(75)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 30(43)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 18(24)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 15(52)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 9(29)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 52(52) 21(73)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 19(44)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 11(23)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 73(73) 7(80)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 45(45) 5(50)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 5(27)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 4(41)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 2(19)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 1(17)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 6(20)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 79(80) 1(81) X(81)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 42(42) 1(43) X(43)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 1(22) X(22)
GREAT EXUMA 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAN SALVADOR 34 2 7( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
MAYAGUANA 34 43 4(47) 2(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
MAYAGUANA 50 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MAYAGUANA 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GRAND TURK 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GRAND TURK 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GRAND TURK 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PUERTO PLATA 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH