000 WTNT32 KNHC 220248 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Fiona Advisory Number 31 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072022 1100 PM EDT Wed Sep 21 2022 ...FIONA'S WIND FIELD GROWING AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD... ...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.6N 71.2W ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SW OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1315 MI...2110 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB...27.58 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 to 36 hours. Interests in Atlantic Canada should monitor the progress of this system. Watches may be required for portions of Atlantic Canada tomorrow morning. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fiona was located near latitude 26.6 North, longitude 71.2 West. Fiona is moving toward the north near 10 mph (17 km/h). A north-northeastward or northeastward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through Friday, followed by a somewhat slower northward motion beginning Friday night or Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Fiona will pass just to the west of Bermuda Thursday night, approach Nova Scotia on Friday, and move across Nova Scotia and into the Gulf of St. Lawrence on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Fiona is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is expected through early Friday. Some weakening is expected to begin on Friday, but Fiona is forecast to still be producing hurricane-force winds Friday night and Saturday after it has become post-tropical. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). NOAA buoy 41047, about 55 n mi north-northwest of the center of Fiona, recently reported a sustained wind of 54 mph (86 km/h) and a gust to 67 mph (108 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 934 mb (27.58 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Hurricane Fiona can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected, and hurricane conditions are possible, on Bermuda beginning Thursday evening and continuing through Friday morning. RAINFALL: Fiona is forecast to produce the following rainfall: Bermuda: 2 to 4 inches. Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, and western Newfoundland: 3 to 6 inches, with local maximum up to 10 inches. This rainfall could result in areas of flooding, some of which may be significant in nature. Eastern Quebec: 2 to 5 inches. New Brunswick: 1 to 3 inches. STORM SURGE: A storm surge will cause elevated water levels along the coast of Bermuda in areas of onshore winds beginning Thursday night. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Fiona are affecting the northern coast of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas. These swells will continue to spread westward across the southwestern Atlantic toward the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada during the next day or two. Swells from Fiona are expected to reach Bermuda early Thursday. The swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg