Currently Active Systems

Hurricane Fiona Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT22 KNHC 182056
TCMAT2

HURRICANE FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
2100 UTC SUN SEP 18 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE  TURKS AND  CAICOS AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...
MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* THE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO CAUCEDO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO
WESTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO
WESTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA
* TURKS AND CAICOS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG
CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABO CAUCEDO TO
BARAHONA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  67.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  67.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  66.9W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.7N  68.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 20.0N  69.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 21.4N  70.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 22.8N  70.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 24.1N  70.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 25.7N  70.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 30.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 37.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N  67.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 19/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




Source link