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Hurricane Earl Forecast Advisory


784 
WTNT21 KNHC 091434
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062022
1500 UTC FRI SEP 09 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N  61.0W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  70SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT.......100NE 110SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT.......170NE 200SE 170SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N  61.0W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.4N  61.9W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 37.0N  57.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  35NW.
50 KT...100NE 130SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 210SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 41.0N  54.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  45NW.
50 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 320SE 250SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 43.5N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  90SW 130NW.
34 KT...290NE 290SE 270SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 44.4N  51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 270SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 45.1N  50.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 230SW 230NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 45.5N  49.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 200SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 45.5N  45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 46.0N  40.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.2N  61.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY





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