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Lee County Forecast
Today

Today: Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 98. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly Sunny
then
Scattered
T-storms
Tonight

Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. East northeast wind 5 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Scattered
T-storms then
Mostly Cloudy
Hi 90 °FLo 75 °F
Extended Forecast
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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - EARL
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EARL
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This forum is locked: you cannot post, reply to, or edit topics.   This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2016 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12904
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Jul 28, 2016 12:06 pm    Post subject: EARL Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU JUL 28 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave located about 1700 miles east-southeast of the
Leeward Islands is moving westward at about 30 mph. Environmental
conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development
this weekend when the disturbance could be near the northern Lesser
Antilles and Puerto Rico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent




Last edited by ccstorms on Wed Aug 03, 2016 12:04 pm; edited 6 times in total
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12904
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Jul 28, 2016 12:51 pm    Post subject: Re: EARL Reply with quote

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT THU 28 JULY 2016
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z JULY 2016
TCPOD NUMBER.....16-063

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST
AT 30/1800Z NEAR 16.5N 57.5W WITH 6-HRLY FIXES TO FOLLOW
IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS.
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12904
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Jul 29, 2016 3:15 am    Post subject: Re: EARL Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located located about 1200 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is moving rapidly westward. Given the fast motion of the
system, development, if any, will be slow to occur. However, this
system will likely bring showers and gusty winds to portions of the
Leeward Islands during the weekend, and then, the activity should
spread westward across the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent




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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12904
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Jul 30, 2016 12:18 pm    Post subject: Re: EARL Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A strong tropical wave located about 550 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is moving westward at 25 to 30 mph and is accompanied by
increasing shower activity. However, surface observations and
satellite wind data show that pressures are relatively high in the
area and that there are no signs of a circulation. During the next
day or two, development should be slow to occur due to the rapid
motion of the system. Regardless of development, this system will
likely bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the
Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola, and
interests in these areas should monitor its progress. By the middle
of next week, the disturbance is expected to be in the western
Caribbean Sea, where conditions are likely to be more conducive for
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent



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Weatherman911
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Joined: Jul 11, 2006
Posts: 2660
Location: Cape Coral, FL

PostPosted: Sat Jul 30, 2016 12:38 pm    Post subject: Re: EARL Reply with quote

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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12904
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Jul 30, 2016 5:55 pm    Post subject: Re: EARL Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave is rapidly moving westward toward the Lesser
Antilles. Although satellite images show a large and well-
organized area of thunderstorms associated with the wave, there are
no signs of a surface circulation, and pressures are not falling
significantly at this time. This system has the potential for some
slow development during the next day or two, but the best chance for
tropical cyclone formation is likely to be by the middle of next
week, when the wave reaches the western Caribbean Sea. This system
is expected to bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions
of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico tonight and
Sunday, and then the activity should spread westward across
Hispaniola. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of
this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent


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Weatherman911
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Joined: Jul 11, 2006
Posts: 2660
Location: Cape Coral, FL

PostPosted: Sat Jul 30, 2016 8:15 pm    Post subject: Re: EARL Reply with quote

Invest 97L
As of 00:00 UTC Jul 31, 2016:

Location: 14.9°N 57.3°W
Maximum Winds: 30 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 1009 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1011 mb
Radius of Circulation: 150 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 70 NM

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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12904
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Jul 31, 2016 4:13 am    Post subject: Re: EARL Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A fast-moving tropical wave is nearing the Lesser Antilles. Although
showers and thunderstorms are fairly well-organized, there are
currently no signs a closed surface circulation. However, this
system has the potential for some slow development during the next
couple of days, but the best chance for tropical cyclone formation
is likely to be by the early to middle part of next week when the
wave reaches the western Caribbean Sea. This system is expected to
bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Lesser
Antilles, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico today. Shower and
thunderstorm activity should spread westward across the eastern
Caribbean Sea and Hispaniola by tonight and on Monday. Interests in
these areas should monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Forecaster Stewart









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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12904
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Jul 31, 2016 6:06 am    Post subject: Re: EARL Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a strong and fast-moving
tropical wave now entering the extreme eastern Caribbean Sea are
disorganized, while satellite data and surface observations indicate
no signs of a closed surface circulation. Although some gradual
development of this system is possible during the next couple of
days, the chance for tropical cyclone formation should increase
after the wave reaches the western Caribbean Sea in a couple of
days. This disturbance is expected to bring locally heavy rains and
gusty winds to portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands,
and Puerto Rico today. These conditions should spread westward
across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea tonight and reach
Hispaniola on Monday. Interests in these areas and elsewhere in the
Caribbean Sea should continue to monitor the progress of this
system. For additional information on this system, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12904
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Jul 31, 2016 12:31 pm    Post subject: Re: EARL Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a strong and fast-moving
tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean Sea have changed little in
organization this morning, and there are still no signs of a closed
surface circulation. Although some gradual development of this
system is possible during the next day or so, the chance for
tropical cyclone formation should increase after the wave reaches
the western Caribbean Sea in a couple of days. This disturbance is
expected to cause locally heavy rains and gusty winds over portions
of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico today
and tonight. These conditions should spread westward across the
central Caribbean Sea and reach Hispaniola by Monday and Jamaica and
Cuba by Tuesday. Interests in these areas and elsewhere in the
Caribbean Sea should continue to monitor the progress of this
system. For additional information on this system, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
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