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Lee County Forecast
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 80. East northeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Chance
Showers
Tonight

Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. East northeast wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance
Showers then
Partly Cloudy
Hi 80 °FLo 62 °F
Extended Forecast
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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - Invest 95L-Deactivated
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Invest 95L-Deactivated

 
Post new topic   Reply to topic    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2016 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season Discussion
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ccstorms
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Posts: 12336
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 6:29 am    Post subject: Invest 95L-Deactivated Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave and a weak low
pressure area. Development of this system is not expected today
due to it moving over the Yucatan Peninsula and Belize later today.
Some development of this system is possible on Friday if the
system emerges over the Bay of Campeche before again moving inland
on Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent


$$
Forecaster Blake
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LOU
Cape Coral.


Last edited by ccstorms on Sat Jun 25, 2016 4:55 am; edited 3 times in total
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12336
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 11:50 am    Post subject: Re: Invest 95L-Deactivated Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms near the Yucatan Peninsula
and Belize are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some
development of this system is possible on Friday after the low moves
over the Bay of Campeche and before it moves inland on Saturday. An
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter plane is scheduled to investigate
the low on Friday afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake


_________________
********************************
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LOU
Cape Coral.
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12336
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 12:07 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 95L-Deactivated Reply with quote




TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1208 UTC THU JUN 23 2016

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952016) 20160623 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
160623 1200 160624 0000 160624 1200 160625 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 17.3N 87.2W 18.1N 90.0W 18.9N 92.5W 19.6N 94.7W
BAMD 17.3N 87.2W 18.1N 89.2W 18.5N 91.1W 18.9N 93.0W
BAMM 17.3N 87.2W 18.2N 89.5W 18.8N 91.6W 19.3N 93.7W
LBAR 17.3N 87.2W 18.0N 89.5W 18.7N 91.9W 19.4N 94.4W
SHIP 25KTS 26KTS 29KTS 34KTS
DSHP 25KTS 24KTS 29KTS 34KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
160625 1200 160626 1200 160627 1200 160628 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 20.5N 97.0W 21.9N 101.1W 22.7N 105.2W 23.2N 108.9W
BAMD 19.0N 94.8W 19.0N 98.5W 18.4N 102.6W 18.1N 107.0W
BAMM 19.8N 95.7W 20.5N 99.6W 20.5N 103.9W 20.5N 108.2W
LBAR 20.1N 96.8W 21.5N 101.6W 22.4N 105.7W 21.9N 109.1W
SHIP 41KTS 50KTS 57KTS 61KTS
DSHP 42KTS 28KTS 31KTS 35KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 17.3N LONCUR = 87.2W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 16.7N LONM12 = 85.4W DIRM12 = 284DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 16.3N LONM24 = 83.3W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 90NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1013MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 100NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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ccstorms
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Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 12:21 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 95L-Deactivated Reply with quote

Recon tasked for tomorrow in the Bay of Campeche. As Yogi would say... "It's Deja Vu all over again".

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD.shtml
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12336
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 6:20 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 95L-Deactivated Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorm activity continues near the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico in association with a broad area of low
pressure. There are currently no signs of organization.
However, some development of this system is possible Friday or
Friday night as the low moves over the Bay of Campeche. An Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter plane is scheduled to investigate
the low on Friday afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Forecaster Beven


_________________
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LOU
Cape Coral.
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ccstorms
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Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12336
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Jun 24, 2016 3:06 am    Post subject: Re: Invest 95L-Deactivated Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorm activity continues near the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico and the Bay of Campeche in association with a
broad area of low pressure. Some development of this system is
possible Friday or Friday night as the low moves over the Bay of
Campeche. After that time, the system is expected to move inland
over eastern Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
is scheduled to investigate the low on Friday afternoon, if
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven

_________________
********************************
FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER @ccstorms
LOU
Cape Coral.
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ccstorms
Senior Member
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12336
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Jun 24, 2016 5:43 am    Post subject: Re: Invest 95L-Deactivated Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of
Campeche in association with a broad area of low pressure. This
system has become less organized since yesterday and the aircraft
reconnaissance mission scheduled for this afternoon has been
cancelled. Significant development of the low is not expected
before it moves inland over eastern Mexico on Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake
_________________
********************************
FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER @ccstorms
LOU
Cape Coral.
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View user's profile Send private message
ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12336
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Jun 24, 2016 12:06 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 95L-Deactivated Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of
Campeche in association with a weak area of low pressure. Although
development of this system is not expected, locally heavy rain is
possible when the low moves inland over eastern Mexico on Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake
_________________
********************************
FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER @ccstorms
LOU
Cape Coral.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12336
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Jun 24, 2016 5:33 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 95L-Deactivated Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of
Campeche in association with a trough of low pressure. Development
of this system is not expected. However, locally heavy rain is
possible when the system moves inland over eastern Mexico on
Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven
_________________
********************************
FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER @ccstorms
LOU
Cape Coral.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12336
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Jun 25, 2016 4:52 am    Post subject: Re: Invest 95L-Deactivated Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT JUN 25 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of
Campeche and the southwestern Gulf of Mexico in association with a
trough of low pressure. Development of this system is not expected.
However, locally heavy rain is possible when the system moves inland
over eastern Mexico later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven
_________________
********************************
FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER @ccstorms
LOU
Cape Coral.
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