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Lee County Forecast
Today

Today: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm.  Cloudy, with a high near 85. South wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
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Tonight

Tonight: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Cloudy, with a low around 73. South southeast wind 5 to 7 mph.  New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
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Hi 85 °FLo 73 °F
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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - Gert- Final Advisory
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Gert- Final Advisory
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13096
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Aug 11, 2017 12:03 pm    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Aug 11 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of disturbed weather centered a couple of hundred miles
north of Puerto Rico continues to move toward the west-northwest
or northwest at 10 to 15 mph. There are no indications of a closed
circulation at this time, but upper-level winds are forecast to
become a little more favorable for development by the weekend. Dry
air aloft could limit additional development of the thunderstorm
activity, making the overall environment only marginally conducive
for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13096
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Aug 11, 2017 6:27 pm    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Aug 11 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 300 miles east of the Turks and Caicos
Islands have changed little in organization since this morning.
Dry air aloft and unfavorable upper-level winds have limited
significant development during the past few days. Environmental
conditions, however, are expected to become a little more conducive
for development during the next day or two, and this system could
become a tropical depression over the weekend. The low is forecast
to move generally northwestward through the weekend and is likely
to turn northeastward away from the United States early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Brown
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13096
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 3:47 am    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Aug 12 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 250 miles east-northeast of the Turks and
Caicos Islands have changed little in organization since this
morning. Environmental conditions are expected to become a little
more conducive for development during the next day or two, and this
system could become a tropical depression over the weekend. The low
is forecast to move generally northwestward through the weekend and
is likely to turn northeastward away from the United States early
next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Beven
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13096
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 6:20 am    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Aug 12 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A low pressure area located about 150 miles northeast of the Turks
and Caicos Islands has become a little better defined this morning
and the shower activity has increased somewhat since yesterday.
Conditions are gradually becoming more conducive for development,
and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two. The
low is forecast to move northwestward and then northward through the
weekend, and then turn to the northeast away from the United States
early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13096
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 1:17 pm    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The area of disturbed weather associated with a low pressure
system located a couple of hundred miles northeast of the Turks and
Caicos Islands continues to show some signs of organization, but
there is no evidence of a closed surface circulation. Conditions
remain conducive for development, and a tropical depression could
form during the next day or two. The low is forecast to move
northwestward and northward through the weekend, and then turn
to the northeast away from the United States early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13096
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 5:46 pm    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 12 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad low pressure area
located about 250 miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands
have become better organized during the past several hours, and
visible satellite images suggest a low-level circulation may be
forming. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive
for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form tonight or Sunday while the system moves northwestward. The
low is forecast to turn northward, then northeastward away from the
United States early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13096
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Aug 13, 2017 4:12 am    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eight Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017
500 AM EDT Sun Aug 13 2017

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...
...FORECAST TO REMAIN EAST OF THE UNITED STATES...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 70.9W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM NNE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 545 MI...875 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eight
was located near latitude 26.5 North, longitude 70.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 14 mph (22
km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through today.
A turn toward the north is forecast to occur tonight, followed by a
turn toward the north-northeast on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13096
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Aug 13, 2017 12:27 pm    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eight Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017
1100 AM EDT Sun Aug 13 2017

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 71.5W
ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13096
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Aug 13, 2017 3:15 pm    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gert Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017
500 PM EDT Sun Aug 13 2017

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM GERT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.1N 71.7W
ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gert was
located near latitude 28.1 North, longitude 71.7 West. Gert is
moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn
toward the north is forecast to occur tonight, followed by a turn
toward the north-northeast by Monday night.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next day
or two.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
northeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13096
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Aug 14, 2017 4:15 am    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gert Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082017
500 AM EDT Mon Aug 14 2017

...GERT MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WELL
AWAY FROM LAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.7N 72.2W
ABOUT 475 MI...760 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

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