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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - Julia
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Julia

 
Post new topic   Reply to topic    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2016 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season Discussion
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 09, 2016 12:25 pm    Post subject: Julia Reply with quote

18.5N, 62.5W, Winds 20 kts, Pressure 1014 MB




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Last edited by ccstorms on Sat Sep 17, 2016 9:04 am; edited 3 times in total
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 13, 2016 11:40 am    Post subject: Re: Julia Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ian, located well to the east-southeast of Bermuda.

Surface observations, satellite images, and radar data indicate that
an area of low pressure is located just inland near Daytona Beach,
Florida. This system continues to produce a large area of showers
and thunderstorms, with winds to tropical storm force along or just
offshore of portions of the northeast Florida coast. This system is
very close to having the organization required of a tropical
cyclone, and advisories could be initiated later this afternoon.
The low is expected to move north-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph
today, near and parallel to the northeast coast of Florida.
Regardless of development, strong gusty winds will continue over
portions of the northeast Florida coast today, and heavy rains will
continue to spread over central and northern Florida today and
tonight. Please consult your local National Weather Service office
for additional information on this system, including possible
warnings.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent


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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 13, 2016 5:55 pm    Post subject: Re: Julia Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ian, located well to the east-southeast of Bermuda.

Surface observations, satellite images, and radar data indicate that
an area of low pressure is located just inland near St. Augustine,
Florida. This system continues to produce a large area of showers
and thunderstorms, with winds to tropical storm force along and just
offshore of portions of the northeast Florida coast. This system
has been maintaining its organization through the afternoon and
early evening, and advisories will likely be initiated later this
evening. The low is expected to move north-northwestward to
northward at 10 to 15 mph tonight, near and parallel to the
northeast coast of Florida. Strong gusty winds, some to tropical
storm force, will continue over portions of the northeast Florida
coast tonight, and heavy rains will continue to spread over central
and northern Florida tonight and Wednesday. Some areas from
northeast Florida to South Carolina could receive 3 to 6 inches of
rainfall with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Please
consult your local National Weather Service office for additional
information on this system, including possible warnings.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
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Weatherman911
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Joined: Jul 11, 2006
Posts: 2633
Location: Cape Coral, FL

PostPosted: Tue Sep 13, 2016 7:19 pm    Post subject: Re: Julia Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ian, located well to the east-southeast of Bermuda.

⚠️⚠️⚠️ Surface observations, satellite images, and radar data indicate that an area of low pressure is located just inland near St. Augustine, Florida. This system continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms, with winds to tropical storm force along and just offshore of portions of the northeast Florida coast. This system has been maintaining its organization through the afternoon and early evening, and advisories will likely be initiated later this evening. The low is expected to move north-northwestward to northward at 10 to 15 mph tonight, near and parallel to the northeast coast of Florida. Strong gusty winds, some to tropical storm force, will continue over portions of the northeast Florida coast tonight, and heavy rains will continue to spread over central and northern Florida tonight and Wednesday. Some areas from northeast Florida to South Carolina could receive 3 to 6 inches of rainfall with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Please consult your local National Weather Service office for additional information on this system, including possible warnings. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, located a couple of hundred miles east-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers. Slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next several days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are likely over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$ Forecaster Stewart

















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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12336
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Wed Sep 14, 2016 5:07 am    Post subject: Re: Julia Reply with quote

JULIA
5:00 AM EDT Wed Sep 14
Location: 30.9°N 81.8°W
Moving: N at 7 mph
Min pressure: 1012 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph




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Weatherman911
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Joined: Jul 11, 2006
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Location: Cape Coral, FL

PostPosted: Wed Sep 14, 2016 1:38 pm    Post subject: Re: Julia Reply with quote

TROPICAL STORM JULIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
200 PM EDT WED SEP 14 2016


...JULIA JUST OFFSHORE NEAR GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER...



SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.8N 80.8W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SE OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES



WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.



DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julia was located near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 80.8 West. Julia is moving toward the northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h) and a slow and erratic motion is expected over the next couple of days. Julia is likely to meander near the northern Georgia or southern South Carolina coastlines through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km), mainly to the northeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).



HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force are possible along portions of the coasts of Georgia and southern South Carolina today. Fort Pulaski, Georgia, near Savannah, reported a wind gust to 45 mph (72 km/h).

RAINFALL: Julia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches along the immediate coastline of South Carolina from Georgetown southward, and 2 to 4 inches near Savannah, Georgia. Isolated maximum amounts up to 10 inches are possible along the immediate coast of South Carolina. Julia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches elsewhere along the coast from far northeast Florida to far southern North Carolina. This rainfall could lead to flash flooding, especially in Georgia and South Carolina.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado is possible across southern South Carolina today.



NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$ Forecaster Pasch






















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