Capeweather.com | Southwest Florida Weather
 Click here to register!Home | Advertise | Forum | Live Webcams | Contact Us | Tell a Friend | Your Account  

Lee County Forecast
Today

Today: Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 8am.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 84. Light east northeast wind becoming northeast 5 to 9 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Isolated
T-storms

Tonight

Tonight: Scattered showers before 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Northeast wind around 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Scattered
Showers

Hi 84 °FLo 72 °F
Extended Forecast
Florida Weather Forecast

Southwest Florida Webcams

Main Navigation
Weather
· Home
· Current Conditions
· Storm Warnings
· Station Graphs
· Storm Fronts
· Temperature Map
· Station History
· Drought Index
· Storm Reports
· Rainfall Estimates
· Fire Graphs

Doppler Radar
· Lee County
· Charlotte County
· Collier County
· Hendry County
· Desoto County
· Glades County
· Sarasota County
· Manatee County
· Hillsborough County
· Pinellas County
· Pasco County
· Southwest Florida
· Florida
· State Radars
· National

Satellite
· South Florida
· North Florida
· Regional
· National

Forecast
· Extended
· Marine
· Discussion
· Florida Forecast
· Hazardous Outlook
· Wave Heights
· Fire

Lightning
· Live
· Tracker
· Loop
· Network
· WASP
· WASP Loop
· 3 Hour Forecast

Tropical Weather
· Hurricane Tracker
· Tropical Satellite
· Sea Temperature
· Discussion
· Buoy Data
· Tracking Tools
· Monthly Summary

Moon and Tides
· Tides
· Moon Phase

Live Products

Fishing Reports

Local News

Other Info

  
Capeweather.com | Southwest Florida Weather: Forums

 
Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - Nate- Final Advisory
 Forum FAQForum FAQ   SearchSearch   UsergroupsUsergroups  SmartFeedSmartFeed   ProfileProfile   Check your private messagesCheck your private messages   Log inLog in 

Nate- Final Advisory
Goto page 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6  Next
 
Post new topic   Reply to topic    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2017 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season Discussion
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13090
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Oct 02, 2017 5:13 am    Post subject: Nate- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Oct 2 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An elongated surface trough of low pressure interacting with an
upper-level low is producing widespread cloudiness and scattered
showers across much of the northwestern Caribbean Sea, the Yucatan
peninsula, Belize, Honduras, and Guatemala. Although surface
pressures are unusually low across the region, strong upper-level
winds and the large disturbance's proximity to land should prevent
any significant organization for the next few days. However,
environmental conditions could become a little more favorable for
the development of a low pressure system by the end of the week
across the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southern Gulf of Mexico
while the system moves little or drifts northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



Last edited by ccstorms on Sun Oct 08, 2017 12:05 pm; edited 10 times in total
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13090
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Oct 02, 2017 5:44 am    Post subject: Re: Nate- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 2 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms across portions of the
Yucatan Peninsula, Central America, and the northwestern Caribbean
Sea are associated with surface trough that is interacting with an
upper-level low. Some slow development of this system is possible
by the end of the week or this weekend while it drifts northward
into the southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13090
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Oct 02, 2017 12:21 pm    Post subject: Re: Nate- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Oct 2 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure is expected to form over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea within the next few days. Some slow development of
this system is possible by the weekend while the low drifts
northward into the southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13090
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Oct 02, 2017 2:00 pm    Post subject: Re: Nate- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NWS TAMPA

Late in the week into early next week the global models continue
to indicate that deeper moisture along with the potential
for an area of low pressure to move north out of the western
Caribbean into the Gulf of Mexico. Will need to continue to
monitor the evolution of this system during the week, but
no matter what it does looks like deeper moisture will
overspread the region leading to scattered to numerous
showers and a few thunderstorms for Friday through Monday.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13090
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Oct 02, 2017 2:05 pm    Post subject: Re: Nate- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NWS TALLAHASSEE

LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday]...

The pattern will hold through Thursday night. After that, the
forecast becomes much less certain and dependent on developments in
the tropics. While it is far too soon to get into details, there
does appear to be some consensus developing that some type of
tropical low development will occur in the Gulf of Mexico. The
coordinated NHC-WPC forecast brings a tropical low northward to the
latitude of Tampa in seven days. This is closer to the 12Z Euro
solution than the 12Z GFS. However, a lot can change over the next
couple of days, so stay tuned. For now, we continued with a scenario
showing a more tropical airmass working northward across Florida and
the eastern Gulf of Mexico from Friday into early next week
resulting in increasing humidity and an upward PoP trend.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13090
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Oct 02, 2017 3:24 pm    Post subject: Re: Nate- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Potential 7 day Rainfall

Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13090
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Oct 02, 2017 3:31 pm    Post subject: Re: Nate- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NWS MIAMI


TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY: Cloudy, breezy, and unsettled will
continue to define the weather pattern across South Florida midweek.
The area will remain between strong high pressure both at the
surface and aloft to our north, and lowering pressure associated
with the large monsoonal gyre across the Yucatan Peninsula,
Central America, and the northwestern Caribbean Sea to our south.

The result will be continuing breezy easterly flow, which will
advect fluctuating PWAT values of 1.75" to 2.25" across the region,
more than enough to support scattered to numerous showers. There
will be enough instability for at least isolated thunderstorms,
potentially scattered during the afternoon hours with some heating.

The concern with any convection will continue be heavy rainfall.
This will be aggravated by the approach of the full moon later this
week and the first tidal peak of the month. Tides are already
running nearly a foot above normal at times along both coasts, which
will prevent any heavy rainfall in coastal areas from being unable
to drain if it does occur near high tides.

The cloudy wet weather should continue to keep temperatures down a
few degrees below normal in the mid 80s.

FRIDAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND: Forecast uncertainty creeps in for the
end of the week into next weekend in regards to the exact evolution
of the monsoonal gyre. NHC currently has a 20% chance of
development over the next five days into a tropical cyclone as it
drifts north into the Southern Gulf of Mexico. Model differences
abound in exactly how things evolve from there, but suggest flow
veers more south-southeasterly and reinforces the deep moisture
plume across the region.

While the evolution of this feature and model trends will be
something to watch over the next few days, the current forecast will
reflect continuing wet and unsettled pattern across South Florida.
Heavy rainfall, especially in combination with full moon high tides,
leading to flooding will continue to be a concern.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13090
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Oct 02, 2017 7:01 pm    Post subject: Re: Nate- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 2 2017

An area of low pressure is expected to form over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea within the next few days. Some slow development of
this system is possible by the weekend while the low drifts
northward into the southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Stewart
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13090
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Tue Oct 03, 2017 4:36 am    Post subject: Re: Nate- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC

An area of low pressure is expected to form over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea within the next few days. Some slow development of
this system is possible by the weekend while the low drifts
northward into the southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13090
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Tue Oct 03, 2017 5:59 am    Post subject: Re: Nate- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC
An area of low pressure is expected to form over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea within the next few days. Some slow development of
this system is possible by the weekend while the low drifts
northward into the southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Pasch
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Display posts from previous:   
Post new topic   Reply to topic    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2017 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season Discussion All times are GMT - 6 Hours
Goto page 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6  Next
Page 1 of 6

 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You can vote in polls in this forum

Powered by phpBB 2.0.10 © 2001 phpBB Group
phpBB port v2.1 based on Tom Nitzschner's phpbb2.0.6 upgraded to phpBB 2.0.4 standalone was developed and tested by:
ArtificialIntel, ChatServ, mikem,
sixonetonoffun and Paul Laudanski (aka Zhen-Xjell).

Version 2.1 by Nuke Cops © 2003 http://www.nukecops.com

  
Hurricane Tracker

Hurricane Tracker
Hurricane Tracker
2017 Storm Tracker Forum


Atlantic Storms
92L


Sponsored Links

Recent Forum Posts

New Post
Invest 92L- 30%
Posted by
ccstorms on Oct 16, 2017 at 09:06:53 PM


New Post
Ophelia- Final Advisory
Posted by
ccstorms on Oct 16, 2017 at 06:32:58 AM


New Post
Nate- Final Advisory
Posted by
ccstorms on Oct 08, 2017 at 02:04:43 PM


New Post
SW FL-Bonita Beach: Fishing pre and post Hurricane Irma
Posted by
fishbuster on Oct 07, 2017 at 12:55:48 PM


New Post
Invest 99L- Deactivated
Posted by
ccstorms on Oct 01, 2017 at 06:10:56 AM


New Post
Maria- Final Advisory
Posted by
ccstorms on Sep 30, 2017 at 05:15:26 PM


***FORUM RULES***

Sponsored Links

Member Login
Username

Password


Join For Free!!
Click here to Register!

Total Hits
We received
78223501
page views since June 2005

Social Networks

Southwest Florida Weather | Central Florida Weather | Florida Weather

Cape Coral | Fort Myers | Bonita Springs | Naples | Punta Gorda | Port Charlotte | Estero | Sanibel | Lehigh Acres | Captiva | Pine Island | Bokeelia | St. James City | Alva | Arcadia | Labelle | Clewiston | Venice

Lee County | Charlotte County | Collier County | Hendry County | Desoto County
Glades County | Monroe County | Sarasota County | Manatee County
Hillsborough County | Pinellas County | Pasco County

Recommend us




Copyright Capeweather.com 2005-2017

DO NOT make decisions that affect life or property based on this data!
PHP-Nuke Copyright © 2004 by Francisco Burzi. This is free software, and you may redistribute it under the GPL. PHP-Nuke comes with absolutely no warranty, for details, see the license.
Page Generation: 0.25 Seconds