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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - Irma
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Irma
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Post new topic   Reply to topic    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2017 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season Discussion
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12893
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2017 3:04 pm    Post subject: Re: Irma Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 35
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 PM EDT Thu Sep 07 2017

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRMA VERY NEAR THE TURKS AND
CAICOS ISLANDS AND HEADING FOR THE BAHAMAS...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTH
COAST OF CUBA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 71.1W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM S OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM E OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...175 MPH...280 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...922 MB...27.23 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Cuba has issued a Hurricane Warning for the Cuban
provinces of Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, and Villa
Clara. This includes the Cuban Keys along the north shore of these
provinces.
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chris
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Joined: Jun 08, 2005
Posts: 3340
Location: Cape Coral, Florida

PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2017 3:05 pm    Post subject: Re: Irma Reply with quote

No problem Lou. cool thumbs up

ccstorms wrote:
chris wrote:
Lou,
Whats your opinion of the Euro model compared to the GFS model as far as reliability? Do you prefer one over the other?


Sorry, but I won't answer that question because I want people to pay attention to the NHC and the local officials and not any model or me.

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chris
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Joined: Jun 08, 2005
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Location: Cape Coral, Florida

PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2017 3:17 pm    Post subject: Re: Irma Reply with quote

5pm Cone. Appears to be another slight shift to the west.


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porkerp
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2017 4:03 pm    Post subject: Animated satellite gif with lightning strikes for Irma Reply with quote

It supposedly continuously updates too

ftp://ftp.ssec.wisc.edu/pub/incoming/IRMAaniglm.gif
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porkerp
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2017 4:10 pm    Post subject: Irma Euro model Reply with quote

I was watching wink and the only good thing about if it does follow the model it might go over cuba and weaken some. the consensus models currently show it going over lake O and still probably far enough away from Cape Coral to not be in the hurricane force wind field or at least we all hope so. Sad
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chris
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2017 4:10 pm    Post subject: Re: Animated satellite gif with lightning strikes for Irma Reply with quote

Is the link working, Porker?

porkerp wrote:
It supposedly continuously updates too

ftp://ftp.ssec.wisc.edu/pub/incoming/IRMAaniglm.gif

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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2017 6:05 pm    Post subject: Re: Irma Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Intermediate Advisory Number 35A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
800 PM EDT Thu Sep 07 2017

...IRMA PUMMELING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 71.8W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM WSW OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM E OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...175 MPH...280 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...919 MB...27.14 INCHES
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2017 6:31 pm    Post subject: Re: Irma Reply with quote

Potential Rainfall


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porkerp
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2017 7:07 pm    Post subject: lightning satellite loop Reply with quote

yeah it is working but it only shows a visible loop so after dark all you see are the lightning strikes. See if it starts showing in the am

ftp://ftp.ssec.wisc.edu/pub/incoming/IRMAIRaniglm.gif

I think this loop is infrared so it should be visible even at night
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porkerp
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2017 9:58 pm    Post subject: Updated Model run Reply with quote


Looks like the latest model runs are much more tightly clustered. mainly over Lake O or slightly east or west of it. For our sake, i hope it is more east
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