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Lee County Forecast
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 99. North northeast wind around 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Scattered
Showers

Tonight

Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. East northeast wind 5 to 9 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Scattered
Showers then
Partly Cloudy
Hi 92 °FLo 74 °F
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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - PTC 10- Final Advisory
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PTC 10- Final Advisory
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:05 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
200 AM EDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...DISTURBANCE MEANDERING OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.3N 81.0W
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:58 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
500 AM EDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...DISTURBANCE REMAINING STATIONARY OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.3N 81.0W
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 330 MI...525 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:15 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...DISTURBANCE CONTINUES NEARLY STATIONARY AND POORLY ORGANIZED FOR NOW...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.0N 80.7W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 8:58 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
1100 AM EDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...DISTURBANCE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY OR
TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.4N 80.3W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the North Carolina
coast from Surf City to Duck including the Albermale and Pamlico
Sounds.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Surf City to Duck
* Albemarle Sound
* Pamlico Sound

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* South of Surf City to South Santee River


A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area in this case within
within the next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to
36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the area of minimum pressure associated
with the disturbance was estimated near latitude 31.4 North,
longitude 80.3 West. The system is moving toward the north-northeast
near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this motion with a gradual increase in
forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. On the
forecast track the system will move over or near the coast of South
Carolina today and move along the North Carolina Outer Banks on
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
disturbance will likely become a tropical depression or a tropical
storm later today or Tuesday. An Air Force plane will check the
disturbance later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
tonight and Tuesday and tropical storm conditions are possible in
the watch area later today.

RAINFALL: The low is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 6 inches along the northeastern South Carolina, North
Carolina, and southeast Virginia coasts, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 9 inches. The heavier rains may result in some
flooding concerns along coastal areas.

SURF: Swells generated by this disturbance will affect portions of
the Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina coasts during the
next day or two, creating dangerous surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 11:56 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Advisory Number 4...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
1100 AM EDT Mon Aug 28 2017

Corrected to clarify that the Tropical Storm Warning begins north
of Surf City.

...DISTURBANCE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY OR
TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.4N 80.3W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the North Carolina
coast from north of Surf City to Duck including the Albemarle and
Pamlico Sounds.
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:48 pm    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
500 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS THE DISTURBANCE POORLY
ORGANIZED...
...CHANCES TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ARE DIMINISHING...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.2N 79.9W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM S OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:50 pm    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
800 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...DISTURBANCE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS NEAR THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.4N 79.7W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Tue Aug 29, 2017 4:37 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
500 AM EDT Tue Aug 29 2017

...DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH
CAROLINA COASTAL BORDER...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.5N 78.5W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM ENE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Watch has been discontinued from South Santee River
to Little River Inlet.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Surf City to Duck
* Albemarle Sound
* Pamlico Sound

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Surf City to Little River Inlet

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area later today.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area later this morning.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
33.5 North, longitude 78.5 West. The system is moving toward the
northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h), and is anticipated to turn toward
the east-northeast and accelerate during the next couple of days.
The expected track will take the system along the North Carolina
coast today before moving out to sea tonight.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. The disturbance is not expected to change much in strength
today and the chances for the system to become a tropical cyclone
appear to be decreasing. Regardless of whether or not this system
becomes a tropical cyclone, tropical-storm-force winds and heavy
rains are expected over portions of North Carolina later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours... medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Tue Aug 29, 2017 5:52 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 29 2017

...DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD PAST CAPE FEAR...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.1N 77.7W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM WSW OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Watch from Surf City to Little River Inlet has
been discontinued.
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ccstorms
Senior Member
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:43 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
1100 AM EDT Tue Aug 29 2017

...DISTURBANCE EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THIS EVENING...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.4N 77.2W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSE OF JACKSONVILLE NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM WSW OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued west of Cape
Lookout, North Carolina.
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