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Lee County Forecast
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 99. North northeast wind around 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Scattered
Showers

Tonight

Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. East northeast wind 5 to 9 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Scattered
Showers then
Partly Cloudy
Hi 92 °FLo 74 °F
Extended Forecast
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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - PTC 10- Final Advisory
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PTC 10- Final Advisory
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Aug 26, 2017 4:53 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
351 AM EDT Sat Aug 26 2017

...FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

.An area of low pressure across west central Florida is providing
deep tropical moisture and southwest winds...allowing numerous to
widespread showers and occasional embedded thunderstorms to move
over the area.

FLZ162-165-262-265-262000-
/O.CON.KTBW.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170828T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-
Including the cities of Port Charlotte, Punta Gorda, Cape Coral,
Captiva, Sanibel, Babcock Ranch, Fort Myers, and Lehigh Acres
351 AM EDT Sat Aug 26 2017

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of southwest Florida, including the following areas,
Coastal Charlotte, Coastal Lee, Inland Charlotte, and Inland
Lee.

* Through Sunday evening

* Widespread showers with occasional embedded thunderstorms will
be possible across the watch area. Heavy rainfall accumulations
of 3 to 5 inches will be possible...with some locally higher
amounts possible.
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Aug 26, 2017 6:21 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Aug 26 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Harvey, located inland over eastern Texas.

1. An elongated area of low pressure stretching across north-central
Florida is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and
thunderstorms extending from the southwest coast of Florida
northeastward into the western Atlantic. Although some development
of this system is expected when it moves northeastward near the
southeast United States coast, it is becoming more likely that the
low will merge with a front before significant tropical or
subtropical development occurs. Regardless of development, heavy
rain and flooding is possible over portions of southern and central
Florida during the next few days. In addition, this system is
expected to cause increasing winds and rough surf along the coasts
of Georgia and the Carolinas through early next week. Please refer
to products from your local National Weather Service forecast office
for more information on this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Brown
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Aug 26, 2017 11:54 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 26 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Storm Harvey, located inland over eastern Texas.

1. An elongated area of low pressure stretching across north-central
Florida continues to produce a large area of disorganized
cloudiness and thunderstorms extending from the southwest coast of
Florida northeastward into the western Atlantic. Although
upper-level winds are not particularly conducive, this system has
the potential to become a tropical or subtropical depression
early next week after it moves off the northeast coast of Florida
on Sunday. The low is forecast to move close to the southeastern
coast of the United States and merge with a cold front by mid-week.
Regardless of tropical cyclone development, the low is expected to
cause increasing winds and rough surf along the coasts of Georgia
and the Carolinas through early next week. Heavy rain is also
expected to continue over portions of southern and central Florida
during the next day or two. Please refer to products from your local
National Weather Service forecast office for more information on
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Aug 26, 2017 5:48 pm    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 26 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Harvey, located inland over central Texas.

An elongated area of low pressure stretching across north-central
Florida continues to produce a large area of disorganized
cloudiness and thunderstorms extending from the southwest coast of
Florida northeastward into the western Atlantic. Although
upper-level winds are not particularly conducive, this system has
the potential to become a tropical or subtropical depression
early next week after it moves off the northeast coast of Florida
on Sunday. The low is forecast to move close to the southeastern
coast of the United States and merge with a cold front by mid-week.
Regardless of tropical cyclone development, the low is expected to
cause increasing winds and rough surf along the coasts of Georgia
and the Carolinas through early next week. Heavy rain is also
expected to continue over portions of the Florida peninsula during
the next day or two. Please refer to products from your local
National Weather Service forecast office for more information on
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Aug 27, 2017 3:59 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Aug 27 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Harvey, located inland over southeastern Texas.

An elongated area of low pressure stretching across north-central
Florida is producing a widespread area of cloudiness and
thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move over the western
Atlantic later today, and has the potential to become a tropical or
subtropical depression during the next few days, before it merges
with a cold front by mid-week. Regardless of development, the low
is expected to cause increasing winds and rough surf along the
coasts of Georgia and the Carolinas through early next week. Heavy
rain is also expected to continue over portions of the Florida
peninsula during the next day or two. Please refer to products from
your local National Weather Service forecast office for more
information on this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Aug 27, 2017 12:11 pm    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 27 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Harvey, located inland over southeastern Texas.

An elongated area of low pressure, previously located over northeast
Florida, has emerged over the western Atlantic and is now located
about 60 miles east of the coast of Georgia. Showers and
thunderstorms associated with this system have increased in
coverage and are gradually becoming better organized. The low
is likely to become a tropical depression or storm during the next
day or so before it merges with a cold front. Regardless of
development, the low is expected to cause increasing winds and rough
surf along the coasts of Georgia, the Carolinas, and Virginia
through mid-week. A tropical storm watch may be required for a
portion of the coast of North and South Carolina this afternoon.
Heavy rain is also expected to continue over portions of the Florida
peninsula during the next 24 hours. Please refer to products from
your local National Weather Service forecast office for more
information on this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Aug 27, 2017 12:39 pm    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NWS TAMPA

.HYDROLOGY...
Elevated water levels continue along some area rivers where the
heaviest rain has been falling the last few days. The Horse Creek
near Arcadia is approaching major flood stage this afternoon with a
crest expected later tonight, barring any additional rainfall. The
Manatee River at Myakka Head, also in moderate flood stage, is
nearing a crest as well. Elsewhere, minor flooding is occurring
along the Manatee River at Rye Bridge, the Peace River at Arcadia,
and the Myakka River at Myakka River State Park. Current forecast
shows Myakka River State Park nearing major flood stage over the
next few days so this location will likely remain above flood stage
for weeks. It goes without saying that these current river forecasts
can change quite a bit if more rainfall falls into a basin than is
currently being forecast. Those located along and near the rivers
are advised to pay close attention to any subsequent forecasts
issued by the NWS office in Ruskin.
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Aug 27, 2017 12:40 pm    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
229 PM EDT Sun Aug 27 2017

.SHORT TERM (Tonight - Monday)...
A wet weather pattern will continue across the forecast area through
the short term period. An area of low pressure located over the
Atlantic offshore the southeast U.S. coast is expected to become
better organized tonight and may become tropical in nature on
Monday. For additional information on this system, see the latest
tropical weather outlook being issued by the National Hurricane
Center in Miami. A trailing trough axis from the above mentioned low
will linger across the north central peninsula tonight through
Tuesday. This trough combined with abundant tropical moisture (PW`s
in the 2.2 to 2.4 inch range) will keep rain chances high across the
forecast area tonight through Monday with periods of locally heavy
rainfall continuing. This heavy rainfall will exacerbate ongoing
flooding across the region and will produce additional flooding of
low lying and poor drainage areas especially in areas where the
training of cells occur, and will cause area rivers to continue to
rise through the period. All residents living in flood prone areas
and along rivers and faster flowing streams should remain alert to
rapid rises in water levels and be ready to move to higher ground if
flooding is observed. Given the continued threat of locally heavy
rainfall will extend the Flood watch for Manatee, Sarasota,
Charlotte, and Lee counties through Tuesday night as these areas
have seen the highest rainfall totals and impacts from the rain in
the last 24 to 36 hours.
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Aug 27, 2017 2:55 pm    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
500 PM EDT Sun Aug 27 2017

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST OF THE
CAROLINAS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.2N 80.0W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 245 MI...390 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from South Santee River, South
Carolina, to Duck, North Carolina.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* South Santee River to Duck

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to
48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
31.2 North, longitude 80.0 West. The system is currently stationary.
A slow northward motion is expected tonight and Monday, followed by
a faster northeastward motion Monday night and Tuesday. On the
forecast track, the system will move slowly toward the South
Carolina coast tonight and Monday. The system is forecast to
move near the northeastern coast of South Carolina and along the
North Carolina coast Monday night and Tuesday.

Satellite wind data and buoy observations indicate that maximum
sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
system is expected to become a tropical storm tonight or Monday.
The system is expected to become post-tropical on Tuesday.

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in coverage and
gradually become better organized, and the low is likely to become
a tropical depression or tropical storm in the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

The estimated minimum central pressure based on buoy data is 1007 mb
(29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area Monday night through Tuesday.

RAINFALL: The system is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches along the South Carolina, North
Carolina, and southeast Virginia coasts, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 6 inches.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12899
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Aug 27, 2017 6:00 pm    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017
800 PM EDT Sun Aug 27 2017

...DISTURBANCE NEARLY STATIONARY OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.9N 80.3W
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
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