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Today: Sunny, with a high near 80. East wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable.
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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - PTC 10- Final Advisory
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PTC 10- Final Advisory
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Tue Aug 15, 2017 1:00 pm    Post subject: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC
Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized in
association with a low pressure area located a few hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for additional development of this system while it
moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Upper-level
winds are likely to become less favorable for development by this
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.






Last edited by ccstorms on Tue Aug 29, 2017 2:56 pm; edited 12 times in total
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Tue Aug 15, 2017 7:27 pm    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area
located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands continue to show signs of organization. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for additional development of this
system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20
mph. Upper-level winds are likely to become less favorable for
development by this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 4:33 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC

Showers and thunderstorms continue to show some signs of
organization in association with an area of low pressure located
about 600 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual
development of this system is possible before upper-level winds
become less conducive for development by the weekend. This system is
expected to move west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph during the next
several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.



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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 6:33 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC

A second area of low pressure located several hundred miles west of
the Cabo Verde Islands is also producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible
during the next few days before upper-level winds become less
conducive over the weekend. This system is expected to move
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 12:23 pm    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC

A second area of low pressure is located about 800 miles west
of the Cabo Verde Islands, and its associated shower and
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Gradual development of
this system is possible during the next few days while it moves
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, but upper-level winds are
expected to become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation
when the disturbance moves north of the Leeward Islands this
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.



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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 7:59 pm    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC

A second area of low pressure is located about 950 miles west
of the Cabo Verde Islands, and its associated shower and
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Gradual development
of this system is possible during the next few days while it
moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, but upper-level winds
are expected to become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation
when the disturbance moves north of the Leeward Islands this
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Aug 17, 2017 4:47 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC
A second area of low pressure located about midway between the
coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development
of this system is possible during the next few days while it
moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, but upper-level winds
are expected to become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation
when the disturbance moves north of the Leeward Islands this
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.



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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Aug 17, 2017 6:21 am    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC
Shower activity associated with a second area of low pressure
located about midway between the coast of Africa and the Lesser
Antilles has also become a little better organized during the past
24 hours. Continued gradual development of this system is possible
during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at
15 to 20 mph, but upper-level winds are expected to become less
conducive for tropical cyclone formation when the disturbance moves
north of the Leeward Islands this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.




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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Aug 17, 2017 12:21 pm    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC
Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1200 miles east of the Leeward Islands continues to
show signs of organization. Gradual development of this system is
possible during the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward
at near 20 mph. After that, upper-level winds are expected to
become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Aug 17, 2017 6:00 pm    Post subject: Re: PTC 10- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Harvey, located a couple of hundred miles east of the Windward
Islands, and has issued the final advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone
Gert, located several hundred miles east-southeast of Cape Race,
Newfoundland.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low
pressure located about 1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands have
changed little in organization during the past several hours.
However, only a slight increase in the organization of the shower
activity could lead to the formation of a tropical depression during
the next couple of days before upper-level winds become less
favorable for development early next week. The low is expected
to move west-northwestward at about 20 mph during the next few
days, and interests in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor
the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
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