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Lee County Forecast
Overnight

Overnight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. East northeast wind around 7 mph.
Partly Cloudy

Friday

Friday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 3pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 97. Northeast wind 6 to 9 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Mostly Sunny
then
Scattered
Showers
Lo 74 °FHi 91 °F
Extended Forecast
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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - Franklin- Final Advisory
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Franklin- Final Advisory
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Post new topic   Reply to topic    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2017 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season Discussion
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Aug 03, 2017 1:30 pm    Post subject: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC

A strong tropical wave located over the southeastern Caribbean Sea
is producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms, along
with tropical-storm-force wind gusts in squalls. Environmental
conditions are expected to become a little more conducive for
development by Sunday over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and by
early next week over the Bay of Campeche while the disturbance
moves westward or west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. This system
could produce brief heavy rainfall and gusty winds over Aruba,
Bonaire, and Curacao tonight and Friday. For additional information
on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.






Last edited by ccstorms on Thu Aug 10, 2017 9:20 am; edited 12 times in total
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Aug 03, 2017 3:38 pm    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Aug 03, 2017 7:09 pm    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC

A strong tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is
producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are expected to become a little more
conducive for development by Sunday over the western Caribbean Sea
and by early next week over the Bay of Campeche while the
disturbance moves westward or west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
This system could produce brief heavy rainfall and gusty winds over
Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao tonight and Friday. For additional
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 2:56 am    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC
A strong tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is
producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for
development by Sunday over the western Caribbean Sea and by early
next week over the Bay of Campeche while the disturbance moves
westward or west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. This system could
produce brief heavy rainfall and gusty winds over Aruba, Bonaire,
and Curacao tonight and Friday. For additional information on this
system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Beven
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 11:52 am    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC

A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over the central and eastern Caribbean Sea. This disturbance is
expected to move west-northwestward at about 15 mph across the
western Caribbean Sea and Bay of Campeche through the middle of next
week, where environmental conditions appear conducive for
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Aug 05, 2017 3:56 am    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC

A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over the south-central Caribbean Sea. The wave is moving westward
at 15 mph and development, if any, during the next day or two
will likely to be slow. Conditions could become a little more
favorable for tropical cyclone formation early next week if the
disturbance moves over the southern Bay of Campeche. There is also a
possibility that the wave moves over Central America, and in that
case no development is anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila
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ccstorms
Senior Member
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Aug 05, 2017 8:01 am    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased overnight near a
tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea. This system
is expected to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and some
development is possible over the northwestern Caribbean Sea before
it reaches the Yucatan peninsula on Tuesday, and then again during
the middle part of next week while it is over the Bay of Campeche.
Development would likely not occur if the system moves inland over
Central America and southeastern Mexico and does not re-emerge over
water.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Aug 05, 2017 12:01 pm    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 5 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a strong tropical wave
located over the central Caribbean Sea are beginning to show some
signs of organization, and satellite wind data indicate that the
wave is producing a small area of winds that are just below tropical
storm force. Additional development of this system is possible
while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and a tropical
depression or tropical storm could form over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea before it reaches the Yucatan peninsula late Monday or
Tuesday. Even if formation does not occur before the system
reaches the Yucatan peninsula, a tropical depression or tropical
storm could form over the Bay of Campeche during the middle part of
next week. Development would likely not occur if the system moves
inland over Central America and southeastern Mexico and does not
re-emerge over water. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft
is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow afternoon, if
necessary. Interests along the coasts of Honduras, Belize, and the
Yucatan peninsula of Mexico should monitor the progress of this
disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.



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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Aug 05, 2017 5:51 pm    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 5 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a strong tropical wave
located over the central Caribbean Sea are showing signs of
organization. Additional development of this system is possible
while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and a tropical
depression or tropical storm could form over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea before it reaches the Yucatan peninsula late Monday or
Tuesday. Even if formation does not occur before the system
reaches the Yucatan peninsula, a tropical depression or tropical
storm could form over the Bay of Campeche during the middle part of
next week. Development would likely not occur if the system moves
inland over Central America and southeastern Mexico and does not
re-emerge over water. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft
is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow afternoon, if
necessary. Interests along the coasts of Honduras, Belize, and the
Yucatan peninsula of Mexico should monitor the progress of this
disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Aug 06, 2017 3:47 am    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Aug 6 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a strong tropical wave
located over the central Caribbean Sea have changed little. However,
further development of this system is possible while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and a tropical depression or
tropical storm could form over the northwestern Caribbean Sea before
it reaches the Yucatan peninsula late Monday or Tuesday. Even if
formation does not occur before the system reaches the Yucatan
peninsula, a tropical depression or tropical storm could form over
the Bay of Campeche by midweek. Development would likely not occur
if the system moves inland over Central America and southeastern
Mexico and does not re-emerge over water. An Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this
afternoon, if necessary. Interests along the coasts of Honduras,
Belize, and the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico should monitor the
progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
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