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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - Franklin- Final Advisory
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Franklin- Final Advisory
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Aug 06, 2017 11:58 am    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 6 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite data indicate that a broad area of low pressure has
formed over the western Caribbean Sea about 150 miles east of the
eastern coast of Honduras. In addition, winds just below
tropical-storm-force are occurring to the northeast of the center.
The associated showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming
better organized, and a tropical depression or tropical storm will
likely form before the low reaches the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico
late Monday or early Tuesday. After the system crosses the Yucatan
Peninsula, it is expected to move across the Bay of Campeche by
midweek where additional development is expected. An Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this low
on Monday, if necessary. Interests along the coasts of Honduras,
Belize, and the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of
this system as heavy rains and strong winds are possible at those
locations.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.



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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Aug 06, 2017 3:36 pm    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017
500 PM EDT Sun Aug 06 2017

...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND BELIZE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 82.0W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM ENE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
ABOUT 460 MI...745 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning from
Chetumal northward and around the Yucatan Peninsula to Campeche.

The government of Belize has issued a Tropical Storm Watch from
Belize City northward.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico from Chetumal to Campeche

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Belize City northward to the border of Mexico

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
to 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 to 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere around the Bay of Campeche should monitor the
progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
15.6 North, longitude 82.0 West. The system is moving toward the
west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is
expected to continue over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track,
the center will move across the Yucatan Peninsula late Monday and
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts, and an increase in strength is forecast during the next
day or so.

Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for
development, and the disturbance is likely to become a tropical
cyclone overnight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated amounts
of around 12 inches, are possible across the Yucatan Peninsula of
Mexico and Belize through Wednesday. These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods.

WIND: Tropical Storm conditions are expected to begin in portions
of the warning area by Monday afternoon or evening. Tropical Storm
conditions are possible in portions of the watch area by Monday
afternoon or evening.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 06, 2017 3:38 pm    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

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ccstorms
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Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Aug 06, 2017 5:46 pm    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017
800 PM EDT Sun Aug 06 2017

...DISTURBANCE EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 82.7W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM NNE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2017 4:22 am    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Franklin Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017
500 AM EDT Mon Aug 07 2017

...FRANKLIN GRADUALLY GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED...
...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE YUCATAN COAST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 84.2W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM E OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch for a portion
of the eastern Yucatan peninsula from Chetumal to Punta Allen.



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PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2017 6:53 am    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Franklin Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 07 2017

...FRANKLIN GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 84.7W
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM E OF BELIZE CITY
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Belize has changed the Tropical Storm Watch to a
Tropical Storm Warning from Belize City northward to the border of
Mexico.
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2017 6:59 am    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

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ccstorms
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Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2017 10:06 am    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Franklin Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017
1000 AM CDT Mon Aug 07 2017

...FRANKLIN CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 85.1W
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM E OF BELIZE CITY
ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
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ccstorms
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Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2017 3:01 pm    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Franklin Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017
400 PM CDT Mon Aug 07 2017

...FRANKLIN EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN SOME MORE BEFORE LANDFALL...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 85.9W
ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM ENE OF BELIZE CITY
ABOUT 155 MI...255 KM E OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.



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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12901
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Tue Aug 08, 2017 4:28 am    Post subject: Re: Franklin- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Franklin Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017
400 AM CDT Tue Aug 08 2017

...FRANKLIN WEAKENS OVER THE INTERIOR OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 88.5W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NNW OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ESE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.





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