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Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. East northeast wind 3 to 8 mph.
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Thursday: Isolated showers after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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Lo 75 °FHi 91 °F
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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - Bret- Final Advisory
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Bret- Final Advisory
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12893
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Jun 16, 2017 12:13 pm    Post subject: Bret- Final Advisory Reply with quote

1. Cloudiness and showers associated with a tropical wave located
several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continue
to show signs of organization. Slow development is possible during
the next few days while the wave moves westward at 15-20 mph over
the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.






Last edited by ccstorms on Tue Jun 20, 2017 4:53 pm; edited 9 times in total
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 16, 2017 12:18 pm    Post subject: Re: Bret- Final Advisory Reply with quote

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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 16, 2017 1:39 pm    Post subject: Re: Bret- Final Advisory Reply with quote




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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 16, 2017 4:22 pm    Post subject: Re: Bret- Final Advisory Reply with quote

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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12893
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Jun 16, 2017 7:24 pm    Post subject: Re: Bret- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC
Satellite images indicate that an area of disturbed weather
associated with a tropical wave is located about 1800 miles east of
the southern Windward Islands. This disturbance has become
better organized today, and additional development is possible
during the next day or two before conditions become less favorable
for tropical cyclone formation. This system is expected to continue
moving toward the west at 15-20 mph over the tropical Atlantic
during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 12893
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Jun 17, 2017 3:24 am    Post subject: Re: Bret- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC

A tropical wave located about 1600 miles east-southeast of the
southern Windward Islands is producing scattered showers and
thunderstorms. This disturbance continues to show signs of
organization, and some additional development is possible
during the next couple of days before conditions become less
favorable for tropical cyclone formation. This system is expected
to continue moving toward the west at 15 to 20 mph over the
tropical Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.





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ccstorms
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Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Jun 17, 2017 6:09 am    Post subject: Re: Bret- Final Advisory Reply with quote

NHC
A tropical wave located about 1500 miles east-southeast of the
southern Windward Islands is producing scattered showers and
thunderstorms. This disturbance has changed little in organization
since yesterday. However, some development is expected during the
next few days before conditions become less favorable for tropical
cyclone formation. This system is expected to continue moving toward
the west or west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical
Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sat Jun 17, 2017 5:50 pm    Post subject: Re: Bret- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jun 17 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave located about 1300 miles east-southeast of the
southern Windward Islands is producing disorganized cloudiness and
showers. Some development of this system is possible during the
next few days before environmental conditions become less favorable
for tropical cyclone formation. This system is forecast to move
to the west or west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph toward the Windward
Islands and northeastern South America during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sun Jun 18, 2017 4:15 am    Post subject: Re: Bret- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jun 18 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization
during the past several hours in association with a tropical wave
located about 1200 miles east-southeast of the southern Windward
Islands. Some development of this system is possible during the
next two to three days before environmental conditions become
less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. This system is
forecast to move to the west or west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph
toward the Windward Islands and northeastern South America during
the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.



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ccstorms
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Posts: 12893
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Jun 18, 2017 4:17 pm    Post subject: Re: Bret- Final Advisory Reply with quote

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022017
500 PM AST Sun Jun 18 2017

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...7.5N 50.4W
ABOUT 815 MI...1310 KM ESE OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Barbados has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
Barbados, St. Vincent, and the Grenadines.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Barbados
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
7.5 North, longitude 50.4 West. The system is moving toward the
west near 23 mph (37 km/h). A fast motion toward the west-
northwest is expected to continue for the next 48 hours. On the
forecast track, the disturbance is expected to move through the
Windward Islands Monday night and Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
disturbance is expected to reach tropical storm intensity on Monday
before it reaches the Windward Islands.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the disturbance
has become better organized since yesterday, and some additional
development is possible during the next couple of days before
conditions become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation
over the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area overnight Monday and Tuesday morning, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.

RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the Windward Islands Monday
through Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan


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